Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.091445 0.143529 0.205557 0.282257 0.372314 0.472839 0.591813
2026-01-11 0.038496 0.100067 0.189534 0.314707 0.474887 0.665105 0.901225
2026-01-18 0.017098 0.076893 0.180317 0.337843 0.550010 0.810525 1.141753
2026-01-25 0.004171 0.053142 0.160853 0.340717 0.595235 0.917300 1.335329
2026-02-01 NaN 0.028197 0.127134 0.314437 0.595549 0.963346 1.451309
2026-02-08 NaN 0.010844 0.094206 0.280597 0.579359 0.983949 1.532433
2026-02-15 NaN 0.004060 0.078012 0.269953 0.593223 1.041688 1.658544
2026-02-22 NaN 0.001594 0.071784 0.275713 0.630585 1.130400 1.824020
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000161 0.062318 0.272589 0.652981 1.198050 1.961988
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.048744 0.256789 0.653253 1.233924 2.057796
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.052202 0.280656 0.718394 1.360941 2.273719
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.055533 0.304292 0.783349 1.487986 2.490090
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.054021 0.317041 0.832729 1.596694 2.687429
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.060484 0.350859 0.918471 1.758357 2.956710
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.063447 0.375563 0.988860 1.898217 3.197144
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.058356 0.378561 1.022431 1.985723 3.368374
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.043411 0.350716 1.001530 1.994221 3.433758
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.028418 0.314750 0.962998 1.975098 3.460555
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.022069 0.303416 0.966978 2.017054 3.568772
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.020448 0.309551 1.003138 2.106729 3.741968
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.016947 0.306225 1.021083 2.169075 3.877885
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.011422 0.289379 1.012000 2.190210 3.957011
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.013817 0.314814 1.085578 2.336708 4.208823